After a disastrous season filled with empty stadiums and cardboard cutouts, we’ve made it to the Super Bowl where it feels like Groundhog’s Day with Tom Brady running it back on the rest of the league. It’s the most 2020 thing in the world that the first team to host a Super Bowl doesn’t get fans in the stands. Let’s get into some picks and lose some money on football one last time…for 7 months.
Props
Coin toss: Simple. Age old adage–tails never fails.
Color of Gatorade: Orange is the favorite at +140 in one of the greatest Super Bowl prop bets of all time in large part because this was the color the Chiefs dumped on Andy Reid last year. For what it’s worth the last 5 years look like this:
| 2020 | Kansas City Chiefs | Orange |
| 2019 | New England Patriots | Blue |
| 2018 | Philadelphia Eagles | Yellow |
| 2017 | New England Patriots | None |
| 2016 | Denver Broncos | Orange |
Other color odds include: Red +300, Yellow +500, Clear/white +550, Blue +800 and Purple +800. Yellow seems to have great odds, I’m going with the OG gatorade, sprinkle the blue.
National Anthem o/u 2 min: Life’s too short to bet the under, hammer the under. Also, if you know anything about Eric Church, he has a very deliberate cadance and you know he’s going to hang on to every note during the NATIONAL ANTHEM. I don’t know much about Jazmine Sullivan, but feel confident hammering the over, go ahead and hammer over 6 seconds for the word “brave” too.
Over/Under 2 times “Patriots” are said: HAMMER THE OVER. Jim Nantz will probably say it on the first drive introducing Tom Brady. I’ll wager these exact words will be said: “The 43 year old is participating in his 10th Super Bowl, of course 9 of those with the Patriots”. There’s one, Tony Romo just needs to slip up and give us one more. Knowing CBS is the AFC’s main broadcaster, this is an easy over.
Who will speak first during the Frito-Lay commercial Eli or Peyton: Classic man-in-the-suit pick, everyone wants to go Peyton, fade the public and go Eli.
Will Jerry Rice make paper football fg in Frito-Lay commercial: I searched high and low all over the dark web for Jerry Rice’s paper football career. I’m going with the “don’t bet against Tom Brady” (foreshadowing?) rule and saying Jerry Rice is going to nail the paper football FG and give America a nice fist pump.
O/U 3.5 commercials with dogs: Life’s too short to bet the under, America loves dogs–2 reasons to hammer the over right there…lightly tap, don’t hammer this over.
First muppet to appear in DoorDash commercial: The odds are as follows:
Grover: +200, Cookie Monster: +250, Kermit the Frog: +300, Big Bird: +350, Elmo: +500, Oscar the Grouch: +600, Ernie: +800, Bert: +1000, Rosita: +1200, Count von Count: +1600, Abby Cadabby: +2000, Mr. Snuffleupagus: +2500
Look, Cookie Monster is clearly going to make an appearance, but DoorDash isn’t going to punch you in the face with that type of enthusiasm in the beginning of a million dollar ad. Not the sexiest pick, but there is great value with Big Bird and Kermit the Frog. I’m going with the face of the franchise Big Bird at +350 and feeling great about it.
First Weeknd song during halftime show: Starboy +350, Blinding Lights +400, Can’t Feel My Face +425, In Your Eyes +450, Save Your Tears +500, The Hills +850, Heartless +1000, Too Late +1200, I Feel It Coming +2000, In The Night +4500
I have no idea. Blinding lights, let’s get into the game picks.
KC(-3.5)@TB o/u: 56
Life’s too short to bet the under. I’m betting the over and feeling confident 2 great quarterbacks will get me to 56. I’m a little timid of KC’s beat up offensive line against TB’s front 4, but the Chiefs will still get theirs. The Bucs still haven’t played their best game of the season, I like them to cover and outscore the Chiefs. My only fear is Bruce Arians boozin’ it up at his house before the game and being too slobberknocked to manage the game. Luckily, he has Tom Brady to bail him out and Andy Reid is also terrible at clock management.
Pick: TB +3.5 and Over 56
The Morning Flush 