I’ve given it some time…and I’d just like to apologize…FOR ABSOLUTELY NOTHING. I’ll take a 7-6 record with THREE moneyline dawg wins. After going 10-2 the week before, who can be upset after a Saturday like that? Especially when we’re picking ALL of the marquee matchups. Let’s keep this shit rolling.
Morning slate
18 Wisconsin(-6)@12 Notre Dame (46) Pick: Under
Even though Notre Dame is a joke of a school, and refuses to join a conference because of their monster tv deal with NBC, this will be a classic B1G rockfight. Run the ball, run the ball, throw an incomplete, punt the ball, flip field position. A lot of this shit during this game, it’ll be ELECTRIC.
LSU(-2.5)@MISSISSIPPI STATE (56.5) Pick: LSU
If the Tigers piss this game away, Coach O is D-U-N, done. I love him, I’ll miss him when he inevitably gets fired, but his days are numbered in Baton Rouge. They’ll find a way to get it done against another subpar SEC team, but his ass is firmly in the hotseat.
SMU@TCU(-9.5) (65.5) Pick: SMU
Too many points for a rivalry game. This feels like Gary Patterson’s last hurrah with TCU, one that will end in a bowl game for the Horned Frogs, but SMU isn’t terrible. This is an overreaction to a hail mary win over a lowly Louisiana Tech team for the Mustangs–I’ll take the points.
Texas Tech@Texas(-7.5) (61.5) Pick: Tech
I reaaaaaaalllllly thought the under was the play here, but my dumb brain can’t get away from the Big 12 football=points, points, points thought process. Tech has a really good defense, but I can’t get burned on an under here, I’ll take the points.
Afternoon
CSU@ 5 Iowa(-23) (44.5) Pick: Under
I SAID IT SUCKS. TO BE. A C-S-U RAAAAM! They stink, but Iowa might go undefeated on unders this year and win a national title. Hammer the Hawkeyes unders. Here’s just a little foreshadowing of what will happen later in the season:
7 Texas A&M(-5.5)@16 Arkansas (47.5) Pick: Texas A&M
We’re all down on the Aggies for surviving a terrible loss to CU week 2, but this line is a bit of a joke. I love Sam Pittman and Arkansas is on track, but I’ll lay the points with A&M.
24UCLA(-4.5)@Stanford (58.5) Pick: Over
This is going to be an awesome game. UCLA lost to a very good Fresno State team last week and Stanford is coming off firing Clay Helton and a bye week against Vanderbilt. Both defenses stink, UCLA has a confident Chip Kelley and Stanford has scored 40+ points in back to back weeks. Hammer the over.
Tennessee@11 Florida(-19) (63) Pick: Florida stealing Tennessee’s dignity
Tennessee still stinks, Florida is good. They’re going to steal their lunch money for the 5th year in a row.
Evening
WVU@4 OU(-17) (56.5) Pick: West Virginia
Maybe I’m too high on the Mountaineers for “upsetting” an overrated Va Tech team, or maybe I’m too low on Oklahoma for surviving a scare against Nebraska. Regardless, this is a lot of points for two teams I don’t feel confident in. Not gonna overthink this one, I’ll take the points.
FAU@Air Force(-4.5) (54.5) Pick: Air Force
The Mountain west is the 4.5 best conference in the nation this year and Air Force will be a bowl eligible team. FAU has put up 38+ points the last two weeks after getting slobberknocked by Florida, so the over is in play here too, but I’ll lay the points. Too much talent for the Falcons and too much altitude for the Owls. Maybe sprinkle a same game parlay with the over?
Nightcap
Oregon St@USC(-10.5) (62) Pick: USC
Are we still devaluing USC because they fired their coach? Because this line makes no fucking sense to me. Oregon State has scored 42+ points the last two weeks and competed with a decent Purdue team, so maybe the over is in play here, but I’m laying the number.
Let’s face it, after 3 straight weeks of really good matchups, this week falls flat. We’ve been treated to a marquee game in every time slot and usually an interesting nightcap, but our marquee game this week is…Texas A&M@Arkansas…? Eww. Money doesn’t stop though, so let’s get it. Love you, bye.
The Morning Flush 