The Broncos stink, and the numbers showed that, but I really thought the Browns injuries would give them a shot. NOPE. We had a big bounceback day yesterday, let’s keep it going! A couple of huge lines, but don’t let those scare you off from making a pick. Scared money don’t make money, so find your value and hammer your picks with confidence. Let’s get this.
KC(-5.5)@TEN (57.5) PICK: TEN+5.5
A pretty disrespectful line for a Tennessee squad that beat, who some thought was the best team in the league, the Bills Monday night and a Kansas City team that can’t stop a fart in an elevator. The numbers say to sprinkle the moneyline with the Titans, but I’ll stick to the points in this one.
NYJ@NE(-7) (42.5) PICK: NE-7 AND UNDER 42.5
I’m gonna same game parlay this with confidence. The numbers love the under, I’ve been on Patriot unders all year and I’ll take them -7 all day. If you can tease the line down to 4 and the total to 45, even better.
CAR(-3)@NYG (43) PICK: Carolina -3 and under 43
Another same game parlay I’m confident in. The Giants are missing half their weapons on Offense and Sam Darnold is STRUGGLING. I love the under and the Panthers defense will come up big for them today.
BAL(-6.5)@CIN (47) PICK: CIN-6.5
The numbers say to hammer the over, but I love both of these defenses too much to follow that trend. I reaaaalllly like the Bengals at home, I think they win this game outright. You don’t have to follow me, but I’m sprinkling the moneyline too.
PHI@LV(-3) (49) PICK: UNDER 49
Two underrated defenses and Philly’s efficiency (not volume, efficiency) running the football keep this game from getting out of control. If you can tease this total to 52, I love it even more.
HOU@ARI(-17.5) (47.5) PICK: ARI -17.5
Usually in the NFL, I stay away from these lopsided spreads, but Houston is finally starting to show how much of a dumpster fire they are. Hammer the Cards regardless of the clownshow line.
IND@SF(-4) (44) PICK: IND+4
I actually loved the under all week long in my head, but the numbers show they got this total right. Indy is looking better on offense and they’re getting some weapons, like TY Hilton, back, so I like them to keep it close against an injury riddled Niners squad.
The Morning Flush 