Last weekend was a roller coaster after riding the high of the Saturday we had, just to watch it come crashing down on Sunday. After scouring the Saturday slate, I think we have some solid winners again this week with some big time matchups. Let’s get it.
Saturday Wake ‘n’ Bacon
6 Michigan(-4)@8 Michigan State (50.5) Pick: Under
This feels like a classic U of M/MSU rock fight where each time tries to run the ball more than the other. With both team’s ability to ground and pound, this game might be over in less than 3 hours. This will be a field goal game, regardless of the side you pick, but I love the under. I’m ready for this team to rip my fucking heart out against those fucks at the end of the season again.
Texas@16 Baylor(-3) (61.5) Pick: Over
I’ll have to find a couple locks to make up for this game because I have no idea who to take in this matchup. I’ll favor the “basketball on grass” motto of the Big 12 and take the over.
Hawaii@Utah State(-5.5) (65) Pick: USU-5.5
I wasn’t sold on this pick initially because Utah State is incapable of blowing anyone out, typical Mormons. I like them to cover here, regardless of a high powered Hawaii offense.
1 Georgia(-14)@Florida (51) Pick: Florida +14
This is one of the value rivalry games of the weekend. Florida’s defense can’t compete with Georgia’s, but I expect them to make some stops to keep this game close. Kentucky kept the score within 17 on the road in Athens, I expect Florida to hang tough for four quarters in the Swamp.
Wyoming@San Jose State(-3.5) (41) Pick: Under
I’m done picking Wyoming until they prove to me they can score. They’ve gone 10 quarters without a touchdown while their defense is ready to compete for a Mountain West title, leaving Wyoming fans in a shitty purgatory of consistently hoping to make the Idaho potato bowl. I digress, I love (Saturday) Cowboy unders.
Duke@13 Wake Forest(-16) (70) Pick: WF-16
Duke stinks, hammer the Deacons, sprinkle the under. Next.
UTEP@FAU(-11) (47.5) Pick: UTEP +11
Am I missing something? UTEP is 6-1, FAU is 4-3 with similar resumes…what is going on? I’ll take the cheese. Snap my fuckin’ neck with this trap.
10 Ole Miss@18 Auburn(-2.5) (66) Pick: Ole Miss+2.5
I’m all aboard the Lane Train. There only loss is to Bama (respectable), they’ve been battle tested, and the defense looks like it’s coming around. I’m still out on Auburn as long as Bo Nix is the quarterback–hotty toddy.
12 Kentucky(-1.5)@Mississippi State (47)
Kentucky scored a garbage time touchdown to cover against UGA, but they held their own for a half against top ranked Georgia. Mississippi State got a good warmup last week after shitpumping Vandy, but I got the Wildcats by two scores.
19 SMU@Houston (EVEN) (62) Pick: Over
I’m chickening out of picking a team and going with the over, but don’t get caught up in the number in front of SMU’s name. Houston has been tested and Dana Holgerson has that offense cooking after an early season loss to Texas Tech. I love Dana Holgerson, I love Sonny Dykes, they both love points, hammer the over.
Oregon State(-1.5)@Cal (55) Pick: Oregon State
The Beavs are 1 win away from being…BOWL ELIGIBLE?!?! I’m sure they’ll find a way to fuck this up, but I’m hammering them against a shitty Cal team.
Boise State(-2.5)@Colorado State (51.5) Pick: BSU-2.5
I’ve been fading CSU and it’s been working for me. This line makes no sense, Boise will beat those fucks by 40.
20 Penn State@5 Ohio State(-18.5) (61) Pick: Under
I originally loved Penn State after looking at the line, but after looking at the total, I’m hammering the under. Ohio State’s offense has been cooking after taking a minute to warm up, but this is a bit disrespectful to Penn State, regardless of the heartbreaker they had last week.
North Carolina @11 Notre Dame(-3.5) (62.5) Pick: UND -3.5
The line and the total feel off, but I’m more comfortable taking Notre Dame than anything. I think they cruise to this win, but their defense will also keep this from turning into a shootout, so maybe same-game parlay with the under?
UCLA@UTAH(-6.5) (60.5) Pick: UCLA+6.5
I’m falling for another rat line here, but if someone can explain why Utah is favored by so much, I’d appreciate it. I’m hammering the Bruins and not thinking twice about this one.
Nightcap
Virginia@25 BYU(-2.5) (64.5) Pick: Over
As much as I want to pick Virginia, I can’t take anyone in this matchup. Life’s too short to bet the under.
Fresno State@21 San Diego State(-1) (44.5) Pick: SDSU-1
This is going to be a great game. This line is a bit disrespectful to SDSU considering they’re at home and undefeated, but Fresno State is legit. I trust SDSU’s defense the most out of any unit on the field, so I’ll lay the number in this one.
Washington@Standord(-2.5) (47.5) Pick: Stanford-2.5
Every time I try to pick the Cardinal, they stab me in the back, but Washington stinks, so hammer Stanford with confidence.
If you can’t find a winner in these picks, you got a big dump in your pants. After a 10-4 weekend, we’re looking to carry that momentum heading into the second half of the season. Let’s get it, love you, bye.
The Morning Flush 