When you’ve identified a weakness, outsource. As the great Michael Scott once said, “”People will never be replaced by machines. In the end, life and business are about human connections. And computers are about trying to murder you in a lake. And to me the choice is easy.” Like a well-oiled sweatshop, here’s the Flush’s first outsourced NBA picks. Time to make a got damn fortune.
5:00 Miami (-4.5) @ Charlotte: Total 225.5 down from 227.5
[Jimmy Butler Day to Day] [Herro Out] [Hayward Out]
90% of the Handle is on the over but 60% of the cash is on the under. Last two matchups have seen the Heat lock down Charlotte. Charlotte has not been a scoring juggernaut as of late.
- SGP for a half unit: Charlotte teaser w Alt Under 240.5 w Ball 15+ pts
- SGP for a half unit: Rozier 15+ pts w 3 REB w 3 Ass (only if you can get even $ on this)
- SGP for a half unit: Heat teaser w Alt Over 240.5 w Butler 15+ pts (Bam 14+ pts or Lowry 4 Ass are other options if you can get them or Jimmy is out)
Live bet to watch: I’ve got a lot of unders in this game so start hitting the Quarterly Overs if this thing gets too crazy.
5:30 Washington @ Brooklyn (-4.5): Total 214.5 down from 219.5
[Nets big 2 and a ½ are out] [Beal out] [Porzingis out]
Pros and the Joes are heavily on the under here. It makes sense since there are no consistent scorers in this game other than Kuzma. Both these teams are terrible. Handle is on the Wizards but Cash is slightly with the Nets. I don’t see any way this gets over the alt total of 229.5. My +300 pick is going against the grain with total and my feeling is bet against anyone who is an ATS favorite in this shit bowl lol
- SGP for a full unit: DC +4.5 w Over 214.5 w Kuzma 15+ pts {should be around +300}
- SGP for a half unit: Nets $line w Alt Under 229.5
- SGP for a half unit: DC teaser w Alt Under 229.5 w Kuzma 1 Ass or 15+ pts
Live bet to watch: These are pretty well hedged against each other where I could see this score hitting all 3. The +300 bet is obviously the one to watch though. Put $25 on it and use the DK 33% promo boost tonight and that could be a $100 net payout. Sponsor me DK!
6:00 Dallas (-2.5) @ New Orleans: Total 214.5
{No injuries to major players}
I don’t have a great feel for this one. These teams are tricky to me. The Pros and Joes are ALL OVER the Over. Both are typically low scoring teams though so this is making me want to fade their asses. Cash is heavier on the Mavs than the Handle is. Dallas is the better team but this Pelican team feels dangerous with the addition of CJ.
- SGP for a full unit: Dallas teaser w alt under 229.5 w Luka 20+ pts
- SGP for a half unit: New Orleans teaser w under 229.5 w CJ 15+ pts
- Other teaser stats I like in this one if you can get them: Luka 7 REB, Brunson 11+ pts/3 Ass, CJ 3 Ass, Valanciunas 13+ pts/1 Ass (love the Val one) could parlay two of these with an alt over 199.5
Live Bet to Watch: The total since I’m heavy on the under
6:30 Philly @ Milwaukee (-6.5): Total 223.5
{Grayson Allen is doubtful}
This is the game of the night. Embiid vs Giannis will be fun to watch. Pros are 75% on the Under and the Schmucks are about the same on the over so I will be leaning Under. Sixers are an under team because they like to play in the half court. Milwaukee can be either but they’ve got lenth and strenth so it could be tough for a team like the sixers to score. Cash and Handle are evenly split on the line so that makes me think that vegas has 6.5 exactly right.
- SGP for a full unit: Bucks $line w alt under of 238.5 w Giannis 25+ pts (can mix in Middleton for 1+ 3 pointer or cut out player stats all together)
- SGP for a full unit: Sixers teaser w alt under of 238.5 w Embiid 25+ pts (Tobias 1 Ass or Maxey 1 Ass if you could get them would work great since Giannis could give Embiid trouble)
Note you can probably get Giannis and Embiid for 20+ pts so take those if you can and up your bet if you do
Live Bet to Watch: The total since I’m all over the Under but I feel good about this Alt Under.
Past my Bedtime: Houston @ LA Clippers (-10.5): Total 230.5 up from 226.5
{Christian Wood day to day}
The Clippers have been one of the friskiest teams in the NBA without their two main stars Kawaii and PG-13. Somehow they are 29-13 and an 8 seed with Reggie “Mr. October” Jackson and Marcus M***** leading the way. They have been cover machines for me as underdogs but in no universe would I ever trust them to cover 10.5 as a favorite. 96% of the cash is on the over so Vegas moved it up. The money and handle is slightly on the Clippers.
- SGP for half a unit: Rockets teaser +15.5 w Alt Over 225.5
Note Fade my ass all day on this one
Live Bet to Watch: I am not staying up to watch or live bet this shit
I have only seen Alt totals variants of 15 points in MGM. They’re only 10 in DK but DK offers more points on the teaser lines.
The Morning Flush 