We had a shit pumping of our darling Winthrop, fucking over one of our futures, but Chattanooga brought us back in overtime, buzzer-beating fashion. Focus on the positives. With that +300, we’re technically up on our future bets.
Big Sky
This conference is wide open, with 5-6 contenders at the top of the conference. Montana State is the favorite at +200 in the #1 seed, but they have a tough matchup with Northern Colorado in the semifinals. I believe the winner of that matchup will win the conference, so maybe hedge your Montana State bet with Northern Colorado at +600. If you put a unit on Montana State and half a unit on Northern Colorado, you’d be in good shape.
B1G
Write the top 9 teams on a separate sheet of paper. Put them in a hat. Shake the hat. Whatever team you pullout, bet on that team. I know Wisconsin just got upset by Nebraska, so the public perception has shifted a bit, but they’re getting shafted at +800 and the 4th team to win the tournament. They have a tough draw going through MSU, Purdue and probably Illinois. Call me biased, but Michigan is a team with their backs against the wall. If they can get past Indiana and Illinois, I love their chances to win the tournament (same can be said for Indiana). Take a team on the bottom half of the bracket (Wisconsin/Purdue), wait til the result of the quarterfinal and maybe lay down a late flier on Michigan/Indiana if they’re still in it. You’ll probably still get good odds and they will have beaten the best competition they’ll face in the tournament.
MEAC
It’s Norfolk State and then everyone else in this conference. Their odds suck at -250, but I would still hammer them to win that conference.
Big 12
Similar to the Big 10, there are a ton of dangerous teams in this conference. It doesn’t matter if you’re at the top or the bottom of the bracket, it’ll be a bitch to get to the finals. Baylor has the easier draw between them and Kansas, and both are at +200, but I don’t trust their depth in a tournament where they need to win 3 games in 3 nights. Texas Tech is at slightly better odds (+350), but Iowa State will not be a walk in the park, and I don’t trust them to get past Baylor in the semis. In this situation, it’s best to look at value, and we’re getting that with either Texas (+600) or TCU (+2000). Maybe lay a sprinkle on both and root for chaos. If you’re feeling really frisky, Iowa State is at +3500, but do you really trust a team that only scored 32 on Oklahoma State? Hard pass.
Apologies for the late post, it was a busy morning. I’ll post the picks to the twitter machine. Let’s get after the books again. Love you, bye.
The Morning Flush 